Thursday, September 24, 2009

Isaac Asimov also predicted Michael Pollan. sort of.

This is what you get for letting me read old science fiction anthologies. I don't know who you are or why you had any say in what I'm currently reading, but for some reason two hundred pages of delightful speculative frolick turned, suddenly, deadly serious. I think suicide might be involved.

"...so the question is whether a non-nuclear war is really possible, and the answer is "No!" The trouble is that the advance of technology has made war into such a high-energy game, played with such high-sophistication pieces, that no one can afford to play anymore.

Under the best conditions, war is fought with a nation's surplus energy and resources. Or a nation can fight a short war even without surplus energy and resources in the hope of seizing and enemy's energy and resources and continuing the fight with those. Where no nation has surplus energy and resources large enough to support the current technology of war, the whole process becomes purposeless and a mere exercise in suicide, albeit one somewhat slower than the nuclear variety...

So war will vanish not because of a growth of goodness in the human heart, or of understanding in the human mind (would that it were so!) but only because war has already priced itself out of existence, except as a form of world suicide."
From, "Is there hope for the future?" Isaac Asimov, 1974

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